Factor-augmented VAR analysis of the monetary policy in China

نویسندگان

  • Qing HE
  • Terence Tai-Leung CHONG
چکیده

Article history: Received 1 July 2010 Received in revised form 6 March 2013 Accepted 6 March 2013 Available online 16 March 2013 We investigate the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in China over the past decades with emphasis on the post-Asian crisis period. A factor-augmented VAR method is used to study the effectiveness of monetary policy instruments in stabilizing the Chinese economy. We find that repo rate, benchmark lending rate, and a market-based monetary stance have little impact on the Chinese economy, and are only mildly effective when the exchange rate is more market-determined. The non-market-basedmeasures of People's Bank of China, such as growth rates of total loan andmoney supply, are effective in adjusting the real economy and price level. Given the slow pace of exchange rate reform, China is likely to continue employing nonmarket-based policies in the near future. © 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. JEL classification: E3 E4 E5 C3

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تاریخ انتشار 2015